Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.031575 0.036629 0.042236 0.048920 0.056673 0.065387 0.075931
2025-12-21 0.022989 0.029411 0.037262 0.047570 0.060765 0.077112 0.098938
2025-12-28 0.018767 0.025886 0.035258 0.048517 0.066829 0.091282 0.126522
2026-01-04 0.015709 0.023045 0.033311 0.048751 0.071447 0.103689 0.153172
2026-01-11 0.013449 0.020803 0.031650 0.048848 0.075528 0.115509 0.180301
2026-01-18 0.011854 0.019222 0.030609 0.049533 0.080336 0.128749 0.211121
2026-01-25 0.010701 0.018115 0.030069 0.050807 0.086073 0.143966 0.246947
2026-02-01 0.009227 0.016245 0.028012 0.049242 0.086828 0.151041 0.270033
2026-02-08 0.008210 0.014995 0.026792 0.048877 0.089477 0.161483 0.300134
2026-02-15 0.007332 0.013863 0.025613 0.048384 0.091754 0.171432 0.330507
2026-02-22 0.006755 0.013198 0.025173 0.049155 0.096400 0.186158 0.371642
2026-03-01 0.006095 0.012283 0.024145 0.048653 0.098503 0.196270 0.405027
2026-03-08 0.005410 0.011243 0.022770 0.047336 0.098914 0.203320 0.433619
2026-03-15 0.004806 0.010291 0.021453 0.045968 0.099050 0.209845 0.462089
2026-03-22 0.004493 0.009904 0.021238 0.046870 0.104062 0.227064 0.515883
2026-03-29 0.004153 0.009414 0.020742 0.047092 0.107610 0.241566 0.565599
2026-04-05 0.003840 0.008941 0.020222 0.047186 0.110866 0.255799 0.616615
2026-04-12 0.003601 0.008606 0.019967 0.047847 0.115502 0.273708 0.678750
2026-04-19 0.003423 0.008391 0.019956 0.049076 0.121636 0.295851 0.754232
2026-04-26 0.003085 0.007749 0.018869 0.047565 0.120895 0.301446 0.789054
2026-05-03 0.002852 0.007336 0.018281 0.047213 0.123000 0.314272 0.844245
2026-05-10 0.002635 0.006935 0.017674 0.046737 0.124721 0.326334 0.899087
2026-05-17 0.002501 0.006733 0.017543 0.047482 0.129744 0.347522 0.981619